Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.254726 0.295429 0.342097 0.399906 0.470066 0.553056 0.659544
2025-08-10 0.191172 0.242470 0.308213 0.400123 0.527692 0.702182 0.965534
2025-08-17 0.155075 0.209447 0.284912 0.400337 0.578079 0.851513 1.325486
2025-08-24 0.130705 0.185151 0.265495 0.397448 0.618627 0.994491 1.731101
2025-08-31 0.112451 0.165463 0.247660 0.390819 0.648658 1.126625 2.174002
2025-09-07 0.101827 0.155163 0.241752 0.401197 0.709105 1.331684 2.863730
2025-09-14 0.090293 0.141420 0.227502 0.393294 0.732386 1.470269 3.480643
2025-09-21 0.082612 0.132848 0.220464 0.396826 0.778890 1.675379 4.397186
2025-09-28 0.075587 0.124379 0.212156 0.395930 0.815384 1.871036 5.428508
2025-10-05 0.071197 0.119959 0.210538 0.408172 0.885128 2.181135 7.098128
2025-10-12 0.066985 0.115295 0.207685 0.417079 0.949520 2.506811 9.158022
2025-10-19 0.063130 0.110813 0.204499 0.424537 1.012638 2.860994 11.765796
2025-10-26 0.059949 0.107359 0.203125 0.436547 1.094189 3.328645 15.664752
2025-11-02 0.056361 0.102711 0.198638 0.440277 1.154221 3.761184 20.179382
2025-11-09 0.052948 0.098040 0.193465 0.441285 1.206999 4.203850 25.750539
2025-11-16 0.049606 0.093162 0.187190 0.438198 1.246184 4.620508 32.231871
2025-11-23 0.046324 0.088082 0.179821 0.430770 1.268823 4.983135 39.373699
2025-11-30 0.044554 0.086058 0.179292 0.442466 1.364512 5.788334 54.480030
2025-12-07 0.041737 0.081479 0.172123 0.433566 1.380658 6.188619 66.413604
2025-12-14 0.039879 0.078859 0.169409 0.437544 1.449746 6.967078 88.960385
2025-12-21 0.037917 0.075823 0.165310 0.436535 1.498912 7.679606 116.026405
2025-12-28 0.036822 0.074666 0.165822 0.450329 1.618562 9.020198 172.331721
2026-01-04 0.035615 0.073139 0.165195 0.460371 1.727014 10.436571 254.095697